In a previous post, Understanding Market Reports for Single-Family Residential Homes, I talked about the difference between a sellers market and a buyers market. This is a great graph that shows a sellers market and buyers market in terms of supply and demand (on a national level). Please note, although Washington state is coded as a very strong buyer demand outpacing seller supply, this statistic is taking to account the entire state.

On my webpage, under Resources, Market Reports, you’ll find a graph that looks like this… 

What does it mean? 

Some of it is self explanatory (the month/year is across the bottom, the number of homes is on the vertical axis). This graph uses data for residential homes only (no condos or vacant land). The light green bar represents the number of properties (number listed at top of bar) that are currently for sale as of the end of the month, and the dark green bar is the number of properties (number listed at the bottom of the bar) that sold in that month. The red line with the triangles represents the number of properties that are under contract by the end of that month. But what does this mean for you?

Let’s take a closer look at the dates across the bottom. We can use this to compare this year’s activity to last year’s activity. In June of 2015, more homes were available on the market, but fewer homes had sold when compared to June of 2016 (and more homes are under contract). This helps you look at the trend across time…overall, fewer homes are on the market, but more people are buying.

If you want to do a little math, you can find the “Months of Inventory”. The months of inventory is an estimate of how many months the current market can support the number of potential buyers looking to purchase property. Think of it as supply and demand…it can give you an idea of how long the supply will meet the demand. Now for the math to get there: Take the number of homes for sale (the light green bar number) and divide it by the number of homes sold (the dark green bar number). For June 2016, that would be 2329/1445=1.6. So there is enough supply to meet 1.6 months at the current demand for houses.

One last thing to leave you with: A market with 3 or less months of inventory is considered a sellers’ market (more favorable conditions to sell a home). A market with 6 or more months of inventory is considered a buyers’ market (more favorable conditions to buy a home). 3-6 months of inventory is considered a neutral market. Keep in mind, though, this is all an overview of all of whichever county you select to look at. Contact me for more specific information about the market and how we can leverage that to sell (or buy!) your home.

Reality TV Show Myths vs. Real Life:

I have friends that love watching all the house shows on HGTV. I think we all know that even “reality tv” isn’t quite reality. This article from Keeping Current Matters does a great job at outlining the differences in what you watch on TV and what you will experience in your own home search. I’m available if you have any questions about your expectations versus what reality might be in the current market.

Have you ever been flipping through the channels, only to find yourself glued to the couch in an HGTV‘show hole’*? We’ve all been there… watching entire seasons of “Love it or List it,” “Fixer Upper,” “House Hunters,” “Flip or Flop,” “Property Brothers,” and so many more, just in one sitting. When you’re in the middle of your real estate themed show marathon, you might start to think that everything you see on TV must be how it works in real life, but you may need a reality check.

Myth #1: Buyers look at 3 homes and make a decision to purchase one of them.

Truth: There may be buyers who fall in love and buy the first home they see, but more often than not the process of buying a home means touring more than three homes.

Myth #2: The houses the buyers are touring are still for sale.

Truth: The reality is being staged for TV. Many of the homes being shown are already sold and are off the market.

Myth #3: The buyers haven’t made a purchase decision yet.

Truth: Since there is no way to show the entire buying process in a 30-minute show, TV producers often choose buyers who are further along in the process and have already chosen a home to buy.

Myth #4: If you list your home for sale, it will ALWAYS sell at the Open House.

Truth: Of course this would be great! Open Houses are important to guarantee the most exposure to buyers in your area, but are only a PIECE of the overall marketing of your home. Just realize that many homes are sold during regular listing appointments as well.

Myth #5: Homeowners make a decision about selling their home after a 5-minute conversation.

Truth: Similar to the buyers portrayed on the shows, many of the sellers have already spent hours deliberating the decision to list their home and move on with their life/goals.

Bottom Line

Having an experienced professional on your side while navigating the real estate market is the best way to guarantee that you can make the home of your dreams a reality! 

*Show Hole – A side effect of binge-watching. Symptoms include a sense of emptiness and depression brought on by realizing you just wasted a good portion of your life watching several seasons of a TV show or an entire movie franchise all at once when you could have managed your time better.